The Extreme Value Model for Dengue Fever Rates Prediction in Nakhon Sawan Province, Thailand

This study applied the theory of statistical analysis, Extreme Value Theory (EVT), with dengue fever cases reported between 2010 and 2019 from the Department of Disease Control Bureau of Epidemiology, Ministry of Health, Nakhon Sawan region. From the results of this study, it showed that the highest monthly recurrence values of dengue fever for Nakhon Sawan province in every 5, 10, and 20 years were 43.1725, 54.6569, and 68.1125 per 100,000 populations, respectively. [ FROM AUTHOR]